COVID-19 cases this fall a fraction of where they were in 2020
The peak of Ottawa's COVID-19 caseload early this fall was roughly half of what it was in the fall of 2020, and data show that Ottawa's most recent wave has crested.
COVID-19 cases in Ottawa rose steadily in September 2020 and a similar trend was seen in 2021, but with a majority of the city vaccinated against COVID-19, the wave this fall was much less harsh than it was in 2020. Figures from Ottawa Public Health, available on Open Ottawa, show that active COVID-19 cases peaked at 1,501 on Oct. 3, 2020 before they started to decline again. By Oct. 23, the active case count had dropped to 1,367.
In 2021, the peak during the most recent wave was 740 active cases on Sept. 18. Ottawa's caseload has since dropped to 242 active cases as of Sunday's most recent snapshot from OPH, a fraction of what it was on the same date in 2020.
"Oh man, the difference in the year has been incredible," said Ottawa Hospital critical care doctor Kwadwo Kyeremanteng, in an interview with CTV News Ottawa. "I must say I'm just really happy with where we are. I'm proud of the city and everyone for doing their part. It's encouraging."
Citizens have much more freedom to gather in 2021
This time last year, Ottawa was under a "modified Stage 2" shutdown. Social gatherings were limited to 10 indoors and 25 outdoors, restaurants were ordered to close their dining rooms and gyms, casinos and cinemas were ordered shut. Team sports were limited to training only. Schools remained open.
Today, the province has lifted a significant amount of gathering restrictions. Capacity limits are gone for large venues like live sports stadiums, and the restrictions on capacities in dining rooms and gyms end on Monday.
Sara Stresman, the assistant manager of Sunset Grill in Ottawa, says this day has been a long time coming.
"I feel like we've been waiting for this for a very long time and it can finally happen," she said Sunday. "Right now, 50 per cent of our tables are in storage. So, tomorrow morning, we'll be here early getting those all out, getting back to our normal floor plan and our old seating chart."
The head of Ontario's COVID-19 science table, Dr. Peter Juni, told CTV News Ottawa on Saturday that Ontario's plans to further ease restrictions will be put to the test as cold weather arrives.
"The only curveball that is impending, obviously, is the bad weather. People will move indoors more, and what we need to see is how this impacts epidemic growth in this province," he said.
Infectious disease specialist Dr. Isaac Bogoch says although current trends are positive, there is still a need to remain vigilant.
"It's important to recognize the pandemic isn't over and if we act like it's over we could get burned."
Vaccines and variants key differences between 2020 and 2021
The main difference between 2020 and 2021 is the vaccine. There was no approved vaccine in Canada in the fall of 2020. As of last Friday, 90 per cent of residents of Ottawa who are eligible have had at least one dose and 86 per cent are fully vaccinated. The province has created mandates requiring proof of vaccination to visit many non-essential businesses, including restaurants, but some businesses had been enforcing their own vaccination requirements before the provincial system was launched.
The presence of vaccines and the widespread coverage also correlates with a markedly lower caseload in Ottawa hospitals. On Oct. 23, 2020, there were 36 COVID-19 patients in local hospitals. On Oct. 23, 2021, there were six. The 2021 fall wave peaked at 20 hospitalizations due to COVID-19, with 12 people in the ICU on Sept. 30. In the fall wave of 2020, the peak number of hospitalizations was 49 while ICU admissions peaked at 10.
"We're doing very well. Our numbers are under 10 for hospitalizations for a population of a million, so it's looking good right now," said Ottawa Hospital senior scientist Doug Manuel.
Variants are another key difference. They were not widespread in the fall of 2020. This fall, Ottawa is contending with the Delta variant. In the last 30 days, 136 cases in the city have been identified as Delta. There have been 800 Delta variant cases in the city since the first confirmed cases were reported in May. It wouldn’t be until the winter of 2020 that the first variant cases—in this case the Alpha variant—would be detected. The Alpha variant hasn't been detected in Ottawa in the last 30 days, but is responsible for 6,849 cases since December of 2020.
The number of people dying from COVID-19 has also decreased sharply since the vaccine became widely available. Twenty people in Ottawa died of COVID-19 between Oct. 1 and Oct. 23, 2020, compared to six in that same timeframe this year. The raw fatality rate of COVID-19 is 1.96 per cent, as of Oct. 23, 2021. On this date last year, that figure was 4.64 per cent.
Experts say that we have come far from where we were a year ago--with other local waves in between--and as we prepare for cooler days ahead, it's important to remember the fight isn't over just yet.
Doctors are encouraging everyone to continue following health guidelines through the winter.
"Our four strongest preventative measures right now are vaccination, passports, masks, and ventilation," Dr. Manuel says.
CTVNews.ca Top Stories
India's foreign minister reacts to murder charges, claims Canada welcomes criminals
India's Foreign Affairs Minister accused Canada of welcoming criminals from his country in response to the RCMP's recent arrests in a homicide that has roiled tensions between the two countries.
15-year-old boy stabbed in Ottawa on Thursday dies
A 15-year old boy who was critically injured after a stabbing in Nepean on Thursday has died of his injuries, Ottawa's English public school board said Sunday.
Dash cam catches moment suspected drunk driver hits parked car, sends it careening into North Shore flower shop
Police say it’s fortunate no one was injured or killed in a collision at North Vancouver’s Park and Tilford shopping centre Saturday evening that sent one vehicle careening into a flower shop and another into a set of concrete barriers outside a Winners store.
Actor Bernard Hill, of 'Titanic' and 'Lord of the Rings,' has died at 79
Actor Bernard Hill, who delivered a rousing cry before leading his people into battle in 'The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King' and went down with the ship as the captain in 'Titanic,' has died.
'A tiny city:' Pro-Palestinian campus protesters organize for another week
Pro-Palestinian activists have set up tents at universities in Toronto, Ottawa, Vancouver and Montreal, following a wave of similar protests at campuses in the United States linked to the Israel-Hamas war.
Lawsuit against Meta asks if Facebook users have right to control their feeds using external tools
Do social media users have the right to control what they see — or don't see — on their feeds?
A Holocaust survivor will mark that history differently after the horrors of Oct. 7
This year's Holocaust Remembrance Day, which begins on Sunday evening in Israel, carries a heavier weight than usual for many Jews around the world.
Princess Anne lays wreath at Battle of Atlantic ceremony; honours late Queen
Princess Anne saluted Canadian veterans and current forces members and honoured her late mother during separate ceremonies Sunday in Victoria as she wrapped up a three-day British Columbia West Coast royal visit.
El Nino weakening doesn't mean cooler temperatures this summer, forecasters say
As Canadians brace themselves for summer temperatures, forecasters say a weakening El Nino cycle doesn’t mean relief from the heat.